Ai hưởng lợi, ai chịu thiệt khi UAE rời OPEC?

{"arrSub":{"vi":{"language":"vi","content":[{"start":0,"end":2,"content":"Ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 61 c\u1ee7a xung \u0111\u1ed9t M\u1ef9 - Israel v\u00e0 Iran, trong khi t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, tin t\u1ee9c UAE b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eddi OPEC l\u00e0m rung chuy\u1ec3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1.<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":0,"end":2,"content":"Ai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c, ai m\u1ea5t sau cu\u1ed9c r\u1eddi \u0111i n\u00e0y? \nV\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd ra sao?\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":2.520000000000000017763568394002504646778106689453125,"end":4.519999999999999573674358543939888477325439453125,"content":"Qu\u00fd v\u1ecb \u0111ang nghe VnExpress H\u00f4m nay. M\u1ed7i th\u1ee9 Hai, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u00f9ng b\u1ea1n \u0111i s\u00e2u v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":4.7400000000000002131628207280300557613372802734375,"end":6.7400000000000002131628207280300557613372802734375,"content":"UAE g\u1eafn v\u1edbi OPEC t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea3 khi tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp n\u0103m 1971. Su\u1ed1t nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u201cvan \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf: t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, chia h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch cho t\u1eebng th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a OPEC \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t r\u00f5 sau c\u00fa s\u1ed1c d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1970, khi h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m chao \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":6.94000000000000039079850466805510222911834716796875,"end":8.9399999999999995026200849679298698902130126953125,"content":"Trong c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, Arab Saudi l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t. \nUAE l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cao th\u1ee9 hai. \nN\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, UAE l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng th\u1ee9 hai, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.\nV\u00e0 ch\u00ednh \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"UAE \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch OPEC \u201ckh\u00f3a\u201d \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 3\u20133,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. N\u00f3i \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p. \u0110\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n b\u1edfi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Arab Saudi. Qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y mu\u1ed1n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u cao, quanh m\u1ee9c h\u1ecd c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch. \nNgo\u00e0i ra c\u00f2n 2 l\u00fd do kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9-Iran v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t khi\u1ebfn UAE quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi OPEC sau h\u01a1n 6 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 g\u1eafn b\u00f3.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u00e0 c\u00f2n kho\u00e9t s\u00e2u m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn gi\u1eefa UAE v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong OPEC. UAE l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ee9ng ch\u1ecbu thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng nh\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 2.000 t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 UAV nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 du l\u1ecbch.\nC\u00f9ng l\u00fac, vi\u1ec7c Iran phong t\u1ecfa eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u2014 tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3ng 20% d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed h\u00f3a l\u1ecfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u2014 khi\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a UAE b\u1ecb b\u00f3p ngh\u1eb9t.\nTrong khi \u0111\u00f3, UAE cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00f9ng v\u1ecbnh, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Arab Saudi ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng y\u1ebfu \u1edbt v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ee7 v\u1ec1 an ninh. S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn UAE d\u1ea7n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n, t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean k\u1ebft v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i \u00edch khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t OPEC do Arab Saudi d\u1eabn d\u1eaft.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia th\u1eadm ch\u00ed cho r\u1eb1ng ph\u00eda sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u00ednh to\u00e1n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb s\u00e2u h\u01a1n. \nEllen Wald t\u1eeb H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: \u201cKh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1ea7m v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel, trong \u0111\u00f3 UAE ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi OPEC \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh.T\u00f4i s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c b\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n\".\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Th\u1ee9 hai, m\u1ed9t g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, theo \u00f4ng Amid Faljaoui, t\u1ed5ng bi\u00ean t\u1eadp c\u1ee7a t\u1edd Trends-Tendances.\n\u00d4ng gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch, trong 15 n\u0103m qua, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 khai th\u00e1c d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e1 phi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap M\u1ef9 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o d\u1ea7u Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a OPEC \u00edt \u0111i, v\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u0169ng suy gi\u1ea3m.\nKhi \u201cchi\u1ebfc b\u00e1nh\u201d nh\u1ecf l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc trong OPEC b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch chia.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"M\u1ed9t b\u00ean l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a \u1ea2 R\u1eadp X\u00ea \u00dat: c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u cao, quanh m\u1ee9c h\u1ecd c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch. B\u00ean c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 UAE: s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ed1i \u0111a, b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e0ng t\u1ed1t khi d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn c\u00f2n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. B\u1edfi trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, khi xe \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u00ean ng\u00f4i, nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh.\nV\u1edbi m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u01a1n \u2014 t\u1eeb du l\u1ecbch, t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u2014 UAE c\u00f3 d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. V\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do h\u1ecd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng mu\u1ed1n r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi \u201clu\u1eadt ch\u01a1i\u201d chung c\u1ee7a OPEC.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"V\u1eady ai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i, ai thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i cho s\u1ef1 chia tay n\u00e0y?\n\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 UAE. R\u1eddi OPEC, UAE \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec?\nNh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft cho UAE. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 4,8 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn b\u1ecb \u201ctr\u1ea7n\u201d OPEC gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,2 tri\u1ec7u. R\u1eddi \u0111i \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c UAE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c h\u1ebft n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00ean 5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng theo \u00fd m\u00ecnh.\nNgu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ed5 sung ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng n\u00e0y t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng kho\u1ea3ng 1-2% nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch h\u1ecd \u0111\u01b0a d\u1ea7u ra ngo\u00e0i. UAE t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u2014 \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng t\u1eeb Abu Dhabi ra c\u1ea3ng Fujairah, \u0111i v\u00f2ng qua Hormuz, v\u00e0 \u0111ang t\u00ednh m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng th\u00eam c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn m\u1edbi. Khi h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u00e0y ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n, UAE kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ea7u h\u01a1n m\u00e0 c\u00f2n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 chi ph\u00ed v\u00e0 tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Theo Michael Tamvakis, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Kinh doanh Bayes \u1edf London: \u201cM\u1ed9t khi eo bi\u1ec3n m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, UAE s\u1ebd nhanh ch\u00f3ng t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ed5 sung chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng b\u1ecb c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t v\u00e0 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch quan li\u00eau c\u1ee7a OPEC v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n\u201d.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, khi Hormuz b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n, nh\u1eefng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch n\u00e0y ch\u01b0a l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, n\u00f3 m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c: ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb UAE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u xu\u1ed1ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 100\u2013110 USD\/th\u00f9ng nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, m\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u01a1i s\u00e2u h\u01a1n, v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 50 USD ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Kingsmill Bond, m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea1i vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Ember Future, cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a UAE l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i th\u00f4ng minh.\n\u00d4ng n\u00f3i: \u201cH\u1ecd r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn, b\u1edfi v\u00ec gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y khi nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi \u2013 h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a OPEC. \n\u00d4ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a UAE l\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1n c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ea7u c\u00e0ng t\u1ed1t tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng chuy\u1ec3n sang c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Vi\u1ec7c UAE r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi OPEC l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1eafng l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Donald Trump - theo th\u1edd The Guardian. \n\u00d4ng Trump tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \"l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi\" b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ed5i ph\u1ed3ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3 t\u1ea1o th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c k\u00ecm h\u00e3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. \nV\u00ec v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c OPEC y\u1ebfu \u0111i v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m theo. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e2u d\u00e0i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9: c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"V\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ebfn ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.\nHi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, n\u00fat th\u1eaft v\u1eabn l\u00e0 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. D\u00f9 UAE tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eddi OPEC, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c v\u1eabn b\u1ecb \u201ck\u1eb9t\u201d v\u00ec tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Iran. UAE \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 xoay x\u1edf b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3ng 1,8 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y qua c\u1ea3ng Fujairah, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ebft c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t. Ngh\u0129a l\u00e0, h\u1ecd ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 b\u01a1m th\u00eam d\u1ea7u ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngay l\u00fac n\u00e0y.\nV\u00ec v\u1eady, th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eddi OPEC g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ee9c th\u00ec. \nNh\u01b0ng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n s\u1ebd kh\u00e1c khi \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn Hormuz \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Khi \u0111\u00f3, UAE c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng t\u0103ng th\u00eam ngu\u1ed3n cung. V\u1ec1 l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 d\u1ea7u, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1: ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o h\u01a1n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0 t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch. \nN\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i d\u01b0 cung trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.\n\u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n. Khi OPEC kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n \u2014 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u khi d\u01b0 cung, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng d\u1ec5 b\u1eadt t\u0103ng khi c\u00f3 c\u00fa s\u1ed1c m\u1edbi.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, l\u1ee3i \u00edch c\u1ee7a UAE ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ed7i \u0111au c\u1ee7a OPEC\nT\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 suy y\u1ebfu so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi ho\u00e0ng kim. N\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970, OPEC ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t t\u1edbi 85% giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, th\u00ec nay ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 50%, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba ngu\u1ed3n cung. \nVi\u1ec7c m\u1ea5t th\u00eam UAE - m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n 5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y - l\u00e0 \u0111\u00f2n gi\u00e1ng tr\u1ef1c di\u1ec7n v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y. \n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Theo C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, vi\u1ec7c UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn OPEC m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 13% c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t. Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong s\u1ed1 \u00edt n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng l\u1edbn \u2014 \u201cc\u00f4ng c\u1ee5\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 OPEC \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. Khi UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i, g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 d\u1ed3n l\u00ean Arab Saudi\nTrong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.\n\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea9y Arab Saudi v\u00e0o th\u1ebf kh\u00f3. Mu\u1ed1n gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u quanh m\u1ee9c 90 USD\/th\u00f9ng ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft cho c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u1ecd bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i t\u1ef1 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 khi tuy\u1ebfn Hormuz ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i. Nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u gi\u1eef l\u1ea1i c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi m\u1ea5t \u0111i ngu\u1ed3n thu.\nN\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y tr\u1edf n\u00ean qu\u00e1 t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m, Arab Saudi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c: t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng, qua \u0111\u00f3 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t chi ph\u00ed cao kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.\nD\u00f9 theo h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o, vi\u1ec7c \u201cg\u1ed3ng m\u00ecnh\u201d m\u1ed9t m\u00ecnh c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn b\u00e0i to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u1eeba \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf, v\u1eeba k\u00e9m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 b\u00e0i to\u00e1n kinh t\u1ebf, \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f2n l\u00e0 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 g\u1eafn k\u1ebft. \nC\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u OPEC c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng domino, khi nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 chi ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Arab Saudi. \nS\u00e2u xa h\u01a1n, c\u00e1i m\u1ea5t l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, m\u00e0 \u1edf \u201c\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng OPEC\u201d \u2014 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \nKhi k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt n\u1ed9i kh\u1ed1i n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng phai nh\u1ea1t.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"end":10.6400000000000005684341886080801486968994140625,"content":"Tuy nhi\u00ean, r\u1eddi OPEC kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh UAE. \nKhi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u201cchi\u1ebfc \u00f4\u201d gi\u1eef gi\u00e1, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u n\u1ed5 ra, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t sau khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t. \nHi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 do eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n kho\u1ea3ng 10\u201312 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. \nNh\u01b0ng khi n\u00fat th\u1eaft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n d\u01b0 cung v\u00e0 lao d\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi \u1edf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb.\nDavid Oxley, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n Capital Economics, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng, d\u00f9 v\u1eady, \u201cUAE c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n\u2026 nh\u1edd n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111a d\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n v\u00e0o doanh thu t\u1eeb d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf\u201d.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}},{"start":8.7200000000000006394884621840901672840118408203125,"end":10.7200000000000006394884621840901672840118408203125,"content":"V\u1eady th\u00ec b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i c\u1ee7a UAE c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u?\nNh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf Hamad Hussein v\u00e0 Jason Tuvey t\u1ea1i Capital Economics nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: khi UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i, OPEC b\u1ecb chia r\u1ebd v\u00e0 y\u1ebfu \u0111i, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. V\u00e0 v\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n l\u00e0 t\u0103ng.\nN\u00f3i t\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n \u0111ang k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng.\nTuy nhi\u00ean, trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, b\u1ea1n v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 r\u1eddi \u0111i c\u1ee7a UAE kh\u1ecfi OPEC.\nPodcast xin kh\u00e9p l\u1ea1i \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y. H\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u1ecb \u1edf nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch sau.\n<\/c>","attributes":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","color":"default","background":"bg-default","font":"bg-font-default","font_size":"bg-font-size-default"}}],"punctuation":"","setting":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","set_default":"TRUE"}}},"type_obj":"audio","type":"add","setting":{"line":"-1","position":"50","size":"100","align":"middle","set_default":"TRUE"},"sub_from_ai":"0"}